Value finder

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Buys only where a venue's price is below the sharp fair probability — no model opinion. Fair = Pinnacle (Shin de-vig) while under 3h old, else DraftKings+FanDuel consensus; skipped if they disagree by 3+ pts. Costs include every venue fee. A signal needs EV ≥ 1.5¢ per $1, fair ≥ 20% (longshot de-vig error is too large below that) and 10+ min to start. Every signal is paper-traded (one $1-payout contract) and graded on the result and on closing-line value — did we buy below where the fair price finished? Positive CLV over many bets is the evidence that this is worth real money. Nothing is traded for real.

Value right now

Paper record

Close but not enough

Paper positions